Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004833 0.005330 0.005866 0.006490 0.007198 0.007981 0.008913
2025-08-03 0.004018 0.004700 0.005493 0.006491 0.007726 0.009215 0.011170
2025-08-10 0.003521 0.004276 0.005198 0.006420 0.008020 0.010076 0.012970
2025-08-17 0.003210 0.004018 0.005042 0.006460 0.008409 0.011049 0.014999
2025-08-24 0.002927 0.003754 0.004837 0.006389 0.008611 0.011763 0.016739
2025-08-31 0.002655 0.003475 0.004575 0.006200 0.008607 0.012160 0.018038
2025-09-07 0.002483 0.003311 0.004451 0.006184 0.008838 0.012911 0.019978
2025-09-14 0.002396 0.003256 0.004471 0.006372 0.009387 0.014208 0.023009
2025-09-21 0.002235 0.003083 0.004304 0.006257 0.009443 0.014706 0.024721
2025-09-28 0.002091 0.002924 0.004143 0.006135 0.009468 0.015146 0.026384
2025-10-05 0.001991 0.002821 0.004058 0.006123 0.009671 0.015911 0.028786
2025-10-12 0.001929 0.002772 0.004052 0.006236 0.010094 0.017118 0.032282
2025-10-19 0.001827 0.002657 0.003940 0.006175 0.010223 0.017832 0.034972
2025-10-26 0.001744 0.002569 0.003866 0.006172 0.010462 0.018798 0.038452
2025-11-02 0.001657 0.002468 0.003762 0.006106 0.010569 0.019511 0.041496
2025-11-09 0.001597 0.002406 0.003719 0.006143 0.010880 0.020685 0.045936
2025-11-16 0.001523 0.002318 0.003623 0.006076 0.010974 0.021407 0.049390
2025-11-23 0.001436 0.002202 0.003475 0.005899 0.010824 0.021563 0.051358
2025-11-30 0.001382 0.002140 0.003415 0.005883 0.011008 0.022508 0.055793
2025-12-07 0.001362 0.002134 0.003454 0.006060 0.011620 0.024559 0.064106
2025-12-14 0.001301 0.002053 0.003352 0.005953 0.011598 0.025054 0.067709
2025-12-21 0.001242 0.001975 0.003251 0.005838 0.011547 0.025472 0.071197
2025-12-28 0.001202 0.001927 0.003203 0.005827 0.011734 0.026534 0.077239